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Probability

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This topic has 4 voices, contains 4 replies, and was last updated by  Niraj Goyal 306 days ago.

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July 12, 2012 at 8:15 am #183845
Avatar of Mike Russ
Mike Russ
Reputation - 80
Rank - Aluminum

I have an event probability of 0.004. This is the probability that a standard line product manufactured on any given day have a chance of 0.4 % of being defective. This was calculated by using the manufacture date of 9 defective units being found. We make lot sizes of 10 or 100 units in each lot and store in inventory. The question is, what is the probability of getting a defective unit if I take one unit out of inventory (could be from lot size 10 or 100)? How we calculate this probability.

July 12, 2012 at 4:31 pm #183862
Avatar of Gary Cone
Gary Cone
Reputation - 1319
Rank - Silver

Do your own homework.

July 12, 2012 at 7:26 pm #183863
Avatar of gomezadams
Gomezadams
Reputation - 89
Rank - Aluminum

Hint: Try Binomial

July 13, 2012 at 12:14 am #183865
Avatar of Prabhu V
Prabhu V
Reputation - 477
Rank - Aluminum

Hi,

According to me, confidence interval related stuff can help better in the situation.

July 16, 2012 at 6:50 am #183924

Niraj Goyal

The probability if you pick just one piece of a defective is .004 whatever the lot size. There is indifference the size of Lot you pick it from.
If the question was is the probability of finding a reject in 10 samples of a lot or 10 samples from a lot of 100 then Binomial would be used with p=.004 and 10 tries

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